Cologne 2016 Mirage Souvenir Package

Souvenir package

Lowest price

$55.10on BUFF163

Reference $59.817d −19.7%30d —Sell now $19.10 on BUFF163

Buy for $55.10 on BUFF163

Add to portfolio

Cost to open: $59.81
Expected value: $5.96
Return on cost: −90.0%

Price history

Reference—

Collection: The Mirage Collection
Tournament: 2016 ESL One Cologne
Released: Jun 24, 2016
Colours: Blue
Market name: Cologne 2016 Mirage Souvenir Package

Compare prices

Cologne 2016 Mirage Souvenir Package

Market	Lowest ask	vs best	Listings	Buy order	Seller nets	Open
CS.MONEYBot Trust 4.5, updated 1 h ago	$42.15	−23.5%	—	—	$37.94(10%)	Buy
BUFF163Best Trust 4.3, updated 31 min ago	$55.10		—	$19.59	$53.72(2.5%)	Buy
Steam Marketwallet funds Trust 5.0, updated 11 h ago	$58.57	+6.3%	8	—	$50.94(13%)	Buy
CSFloat Trust 4.8, updated 11 min ago	$59.00	+7.1%	8	—	$57.82(2%)	Buy
YouPin898 Trust 4.1, updated 2 h ago	$59.81	+8.5%	—	$15.70	$59.21(1%)	Buy
LIS-SKINS Trust 4.7, updated 11 min ago	$64.49	+17.0%	1	—	$61.27(5%)	Buy
Waxpeer Trust 4.3, updated 11 min ago	$79.86	+44.9%	1	—	$75.07(6%)	Buy
C5GAMEOutlier Trust 3.8, updated 1 h ago	$132.79	+141.0%	—	—	$130.13(2%)	Buy

Investor view

Performance

24 hours: −7.3%
7 days: −19.7%
30 days: —
90 days: —
1 year: —

Range and risk

High since Oct 4, 2026: $106.03Oct 9, 2026
Low since Oct 4, 2026: $45.51Oct 12, 2026
Below that high: −43.6%
Range, 7 days: $59.81 to $77.25
Volatility (30d, annualised): 496%
Bid-ask spread: 73.8%
Steam premium: −2.1%

Liquidity

Liquidity score: Low33
Listings: 18 on 8 markets
Sales, 24h (Skinport): 0
Sales, 30d (Skinport): 1

Median sale price

Window	Skinport median
24 hours	—
7 days	$31.75
30 days	$31.75
90 days	$31.75

Opening economics

Cost to open

$59.81

Opens without a key

Expected value

$5.96

Average return per opening

Return on cost

−90.0%

Buying the skins directly is cheaper

Chance of profit

1.1%

Drop worth more than the cost

Typical drop

$1.53

Median outcome

Odds follow Valve's published rates (each rarity grade five times rarer than the one below), with floats drawn from the standard wear distribution. Values use current reference prices.