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CS Armoury
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case

Operation Vanguard Weapon Case

Weapon caseRare drop
Lowest price
$3.52on Skinport
Reference $4.147d −0.7%30d −14.5%Sell now $4.75 on DMarketLast sale $3.93 16 days ago
Cost to open
$6.63
Expected value
$3.90
Return on cost
−41.2%

Price history

Steam sales—Reference—

Compare prices

Operation Vanguard Weapon Case
MarketLowest askListingsOpen
Trust 4.8, updated 5 min ago
$3.5237
Trust 4.8, updated 5 min ago
$3.951,305
Trust 4.1, updated 2 h ago
$4.06—
Trust 3.8, updated 55 min ago
$4.06—
Trust 4.7, updated 5 min ago
$4.14479
Trust 4.3, updated 24 min ago
$4.17—
Trust 4.5, updated 55 min ago
$4.26—
Trust 4.3, updated 5 min ago
$4.29329
Trust 4.2, updated 5 min ago
$4.37188
Trust 4.0, updated 4 min ago
$5.75123
Steam Market
Trust 5.0, updated 5 h ago
$6.003,495
Trust 4.2, updated 55 min ago
$6.71—
Trust 4.1, updated 55 min ago
$7.51—

Recent sales

CSFloat, updated 16 days ago

Median $4.00 across 40 recent sales, from $3.93 to $4.00.

SoldPrice
$3.93
$4.00
$4.00
$4.00
$4.00
$4.00
$4.00
$4.00
$4.00
$4.00

Completed sales on CSFloat.

Investor view

Performance

24 hours
+1.7%
7 days
−0.7%
30 days
−14.5%
90 days
−28.9%
1 year
+8.1%

Range and risk

All-time high
$9.41Apr 9, 2026
All-time low
$0.03Jun 24, 2015
Below all-time high
−38.7%
Range, 7 days
$4.06 to $4.17
Sale range, 30 days
$5.76 to $6.91
Sale range, 1 year
$4.20 to $9.41
Volatility (30d, annualised)
26%
Bid-ask spread
6.0%
Steam premium
+44.9%

Liquidity

Liquidity score
Very high91
Listings
5,956 on 13 markets
Sales, 24h (Skinport)
0
Sales, 30d (Skinport)
801

Median sale price

WindowSkinport median
24 hours—
7 days$3.80
30 days$3.98
90 days$4.22

Opening economics

Cost to open
$6.63
$4.14 + $2.49 key
Expected value
$3.90
Average return per opening
Return on cost
−41.2%
Buying the skins directly is cheaper
Chance of profit
8.7%
Drop worth more than the cost
Typical drop
$1.45
Median outcome

Odds follow Valve's published rates (each rarity grade five times rarer than the one below; rare specials at 0.26%), with floats drawn from the standard wear distribution and a 10% StatTrak™ chance. Values use current reference prices.

  • Mil-Spec79.92%
  • Restricted15.98%
  • Classified3.20%
  • Covert1 in 156
  • Rare special item1 in 391

Rare special item

65 items, 1 in 25,415 each

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