
Operation Wildfire Case
Weapon caseRare drop
Lowest price
$2.27on Skinport
- Cost to open
- $4.98
- Expected value
- $2.73
- Return on cost
- −45.2%
Price history
Steam sales—Reference—
- Collection
- The Wildfire Collection
- Released
- Jan 19, 2016
- Market name
- Operation Wildfire Case
Compare prices
Operation Wildfire Case| Market | Lowest ask | vs best | Listings | Buy order | Seller nets | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SkinportBest Trust 4.8, updated 17 min ago | $2.27 | 385 | Buy | |||
Trust 4.8, updated 17 min ago | $2.40 | 3,741 | Buy | |||
Trust 4.0, updated 47 min ago | $2.45 | 183 | Buy | |||
Trust 4.1, updated 23 min ago | $2.49 | — | Buy | |||
Trust 3.8, updated 2 h ago | $2.49 | — | Buy | |||
Trust 4.3, updated 1 h ago | $2.57 | — | Buy | |||
Trust 4.7, updated 17 min ago | $2.59 | 1,532 | Buy | |||
Trust 4.3, updated 17 min ago | $2.60 | 799 | Buy | |||
Trust 4.2, updated 17 min ago | $2.61 | 581 | Buy | |||
CS.MONEYBot Trust 4.5, updated 2 h ago | $2.61 | — | Buy | |||
Steam Marketwallet funds Trust 5.0, updated 5 h ago | $3.49 | 11,749 | Buy | |||
Swap.ggBot Trust 4.1, updated 2 h ago | $3.84 | — | Buy | |||
LOOT.FARMBot Trust 4.2, updated 2 h ago | $4.24 | — | Buy |
Recent sales
CSFloat, updated 16 days agoMedian $2.53 across 40 recent sales, from $2.53 to $2.57.
| Sold | Price | vs reference |
|---|---|---|
| $2.57 | ||
| $2.56 | ||
| $2.53 | ||
| $2.53 | ||
| $2.53 | ||
| $2.53 | ||
| $2.53 | ||
| $2.53 | ||
| $2.53 | ||
| $2.53 |
Completed sales on CSFloat.
Investor view
Performance
- 24 hours
- −0.8%
- 7 days
- −1.6%
- 30 days
- −7.5%
- 90 days
- −29.9%
- 1 year
- −19.2%
Range and risk
- All-time high
- $7.07May 6, 2025
- All-time low
- $0.03May 18, 2019
- Below all-time high
- −47.8%
- Range, 7 days
- $2.49 to $2.60
- Sale range, 30 days
- $3.58 to $4.11
- Sale range, 1 year
- $3.12 to $6.84
- Volatility (30d, annualised)
- 35%
- Bid-ask spread
- 4.0%
- Steam premium
- +40.2%
Liquidity
- Liquidity score
- Very high95
- Listings
- 18,970 on 13 markets
- Sales, 24h (Skinport)
- 21
- Sales, 30d (Skinport)
- 968
Median sale price
| Window | Skinport median |
|---|---|
| 24 hours | $2.44 |
| 7 days | $2.44 |
| 30 days | $2.49 |
| 90 days | $2.92 |
Opening economics
Cost to open
$4.98
$2.49 + $2.49 key
Expected value
$2.73
Average return per opening
Return on cost
−45.2%
Buying the skins directly is cheaper
Chance of profit
8.2%
Drop worth more than the cost
Typical drop
$0.88
Median outcome
Odds follow Valve's published rates (each rarity grade five times rarer than the one below; rare specials at 0.26%), with floats drawn from the standard wear distribution and a 10% StatTrak™ chance. Values use current reference prices.
- Mil-Spec79.92%
- Restricted15.98%
- Classified3.20%
- Covert1 in 156
- Rare special item1 in 391
Mil-Spec
6 items, 13.32% eachRestricted
5 items, 3.20% eachClassified
3 items, 1.07% eachCovert
2 items, 1 in 313 eachRare special item
13 items, 1 in 5,083 each
★ Bowie Knife | FadeAvg $183.491 in 5,083
★ Bowie Knife | SlaughterAvg $178.601 in 5,083
★ Bowie Knife | Case HardenedAvg $151.201 in 5,083
★ Bowie Knife | Crimson WebAvg $143.171 in 5,083
★ Bowie Knife | Blue SteelAvg $103.771 in 5,083
★ Bowie Knife | StainedAvg $78.941 in 5,083
★ Bowie KnifeAvg $76.431 in 5,083
★ Bowie Knife | NightAvg $72.061 in 5,083
★ Bowie Knife | Urban MaskedAvg $59.451 in 5,083
★ Bowie Knife | ScorchedAvg $56.361 in 5,083
★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPATAvg $56.241 in 5,083
★ Bowie Knife | Boreal ForestAvg $53.771 in 5,083
★ Bowie Knife | Safari MeshAvg $48.651 in 5,083
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